High humidity from the active monsoon phase, with dew points near 26°C and light variable winds, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Lucknow and anchoring trader consensus around a 25–26°C minimum on September 16. Recent model runs show scattered evening showers or persistent cloud cover that further moderates overnight temperature drops, while daytime maxima near 32–34°C sustain elevated heat storage. These conditions align with September climatology yet sit slightly above normal lows, explaining why probabilities cluster tightly between 23°C and 26°C rather than favoring sharper cooling. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycle will clarify whether clearer skies overnight allow the mercury to dip toward 24°C or hold near 26°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
23°C 89%
20°C or below 88%
24°C 87%
21°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
88%
21°C
18%
22°C
10%
23°C
89%
24°C
87%
25°C
47%
26°C
56%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 89%
20°C or below 88%
24°C 87%
21°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
88%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
89%
24°C
$0 Vol.
87%
25°C
$5 Vol.
47%
26°C
$79 Vol.
56%
27°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$64 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High humidity from the active monsoon phase, with dew points near 26°C and light variable winds, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Lucknow and anchoring trader consensus around a 25–26°C minimum on September 16. Recent model runs show scattered evening showers or persistent cloud cover that further moderates overnight temperature drops, while daytime maxima near 32–34°C sustain elevated heat storage. These conditions align with September climatology yet sit slightly above normal lows, explaining why probabilities cluster tightly between 23°C and 26°C rather than favoring sharper cooling. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycle will clarify whether clearer skies overnight allow the mercury to dip toward 24°C or hold near 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$406Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High humidity from the active monsoon phase, with dew points near 26°C and light variable winds, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Lucknow and anchoring trader consensus around a 25–26°C minimum on September 16. Recent model runs show scattered evening showers or persistent cloud cover that further moderates overnight temperature drops, while daytime maxima near 32–34°C sustain elevated heat storage. These conditions align with September climatology yet sit slightly above normal lows, explaining why probabilities cluster tightly between 23°C and 26°C rather than favoring sharper cooling. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycle will clarify whether clearer skies overnight allow the mercury to dip toward 24°C or hold near 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$406Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...High humidity from the active monsoon phase, with dew points near 26°C and light variable winds, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Lucknow and anchoring trader consensus around a 25–26°C minimum on September 16. Recent model runs show scattered evening showers or persistent cloud cover that further moderates overnight temperature drops, while daytime maxima near 32–34°C sustain elevated heat storage. These conditions align with September climatology yet sit slightly above normal lows, explaining why probabilities cluster tightly between 23°C and 26°C rather than favoring sharper cooling. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycle will clarify whether clearer skies overnight allow the mercury to dip toward 24°C or hold near 26°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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