Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project an overnight minimum near 10°C at the Le Bourget station, driving the market’s 97.5% implied probability for that exact bracket. This consensus reflects stable high-pressure conditions and modest northeasterly flow that limit nocturnal cooling below typical May climatology. Official guidance shows tight model agreement on the 9–11°C range, consistent with historical May minima averaging around 10°C. A modest shift in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could still produce a 9°C or 11°C reading at resolution, though current observational trends make such outcomes unlikely before the 12:00 UTC cutoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 17?
10°C 96.6%
9°C 2.3%
11°C <1%
8°C <1%
$7,566 Vol.
$7,566 Vol.
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
97%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
10°C 96.6%
9°C 2.3%
11°C <1%
8°C <1%
$7,566 Vol.
$7,566 Vol.
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
$384 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$615 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$493 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$575 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$996 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$817 Vol.
2%
10°C
$894 Vol.
97%
11°C
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
12°C or higher
$1,004 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project an overnight minimum near 10°C at the Le Bourget station, driving the market’s 97.5% implied probability for that exact bracket. This consensus reflects stable high-pressure conditions and modest northeasterly flow that limit nocturnal cooling below typical May climatology. Official guidance shows tight model agreement on the 9–11°C range, consistent with historical May minima averaging around 10°C. A modest shift in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could still produce a 9°C or 11°C reading at resolution, though current observational trends make such outcomes unlikely before the 12:00 UTC cutoff.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$7,566Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project an overnight minimum near 10°C at the Le Bourget station, driving the market’s 97.5% implied probability for that exact bracket. This consensus reflects stable high-pressure conditions and modest northeasterly flow that limit nocturnal cooling below typical May climatology. Official guidance shows tight model agreement on the 9–11°C range, consistent with historical May minima averaging around 10°C. A modest shift in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could still produce a 9°C or 11°C reading at resolution, though current observational trends make such outcomes unlikely before the 12:00 UTC cutoff.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,566Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETRecent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project an overnight minimum near 10°C at the Le Bourget station, driving the market’s 97.5% implied probability for that exact bracket. This consensus reflects stable high-pressure conditions and modest northeasterly flow that limit nocturnal cooling below typical May climatology. Official guidance shows tight model agreement on the 9–11°C range, consistent with historical May minima averaging around 10°C. A modest shift in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could still produce a 9°C or 11°C reading at resolution, though current observational trends make such outcomes unlikely before the 12:00 UTC cutoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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