**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Singapore on September 16, 2026 (74.5% implied probability), followed by 26°C (25.5%), with lower values receiving minimal support.** This positioning reflects consistent official and model guidance for overnight lows near 27°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions. High humidity (typically 70-90%), elevated dew points around 23-25°C, and light southeasterly winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to the September climatological average of roughly 25°C. Forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and multiple global models show nighttime readings holding at or above 27°C, with daytime peaks near 31-33°C and only isolated shower activity unlikely to trigger significant cooling. Historical September extremes include occasional drops to 24-25°C, but current atmospheric stability and moisture content reduce that likelihood. Upcoming hourly observations and any late-day model updates from agencies like Singapore’s NEA or NOAA will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Singapore on September 16?
27°C 98%
26°C 41%
25°C 11%
24°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
11%
26°C
26%
27°C
75%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
26°C 41%
25°C 11%
24°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
11%
26°C
26%
27°C
75%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Singapore on September 16, 2026 (74.5% implied probability), followed by 26°C (25.5%), with lower values receiving minimal support.** This positioning reflects consistent official and model guidance for overnight lows near 27°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions. High humidity (typically 70-90%), elevated dew points around 23-25°C, and light southeasterly winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to the September climatological average of roughly 25°C. Forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and multiple global models show nighttime readings holding at or above 27°C, with daytime peaks near 31-33°C and only isolated shower activity unlikely to trigger significant cooling. Historical September extremes include occasional drops to 24-25°C, but current atmospheric stability and moisture content reduce that likelihood. Upcoming hourly observations and any late-day model updates from agencies like Singapore’s NEA or NOAA will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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