Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS and regional runs, project overnight minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv stabilizing near 24°C on August 29 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with moderate westerly flow. This aligns closely with climatological norms for late August, where radiative cooling typically bottoms out around 24–25°C after daytime highs of 30–32°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 24°C at 91.5% implied probability because current model guidance shows little divergence and no strong signals for enhanced cooling or warming. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level cloud cover or a shift to more southerly flow that limits nocturnal heat loss, potentially pushing the observed minimum to 25°C or higher depending on the exact measurement station and timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
24°C 99%
21°C 5%
23°C 3%
22°C 2%
$3,915 Vol.
$3,915 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99%
21°C 5%
23°C 3%
22°C 2%
$3,915 Vol.
$3,915 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS and regional runs, project overnight minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv stabilizing near 24°C on August 29 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with moderate westerly flow. This aligns closely with climatological norms for late August, where radiative cooling typically bottoms out around 24–25°C after daytime highs of 30–32°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 24°C at 91.5% implied probability because current model guidance shows little divergence and no strong signals for enhanced cooling or warming. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level cloud cover or a shift to more southerly flow that limits nocturnal heat loss, potentially pushing the observed minimum to 25°C or higher depending on the exact measurement station and timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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