In the Pará Senate race, where voters select two candidates for the state's federal seats and the top two finishers prevail, trader consensus reflects a fragmented contest with no dominant contender for second place. A July 2026 Genial/Quaest survey positioned ex-governor Helder Barbalho (MDB) in the lead at 21-23%, while federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and former senator Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) hovered near 14-15% in stimulated scenarios, with several other names—including Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União), and newer entrants like Breno Guimarães (Mobiliza, launched August 5)—trailing or untested at scale. High volatility stems from 57% of respondents indicating they could still switch preferences, limited recent statewide polling, and the two-month window before October voting, which keeps multiple paths open depending on party alliances, regional turnout, and campaign momentum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPará Senate Election: 2nd Place
Pará Senate Election: 2nd Place
Breno Guimarães 44%
Celso Sabino 44%
Fernanda Lopes 44%
Willem da Silva 44%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Breno Guimarães
44%
Celso Sabino
44%
Fernanda Lopes
44%
Willem da Silva
44%
Chicão
43%
Conti
43%
Delegado Éder Mauro
43%
Edlaine Rodrigues
43%
Gizelle Freitas
43%
Helder
43%
Zequinha Marinho
43%
Breno Guimarães 44%
Celso Sabino 44%
Fernanda Lopes 44%
Willem da Silva 44%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Breno Guimarães
$0 Vol.
44%
Celso Sabino
$0 Vol.
44%
Fernanda Lopes
$0 Vol.
44%
Willem da Silva
$0 Vol.
44%
Chicão
$0 Vol.
43%
Conti
$0 Vol.
43%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$0 Vol.
43%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$0 Vol.
43%
Gizelle Freitas
$0 Vol.
43%
Helder
$0 Vol.
43%
Zequinha Marinho
$0 Vol.
43%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Pará Senate race, where voters select two candidates for the state's federal seats and the top two finishers prevail, trader consensus reflects a fragmented contest with no dominant contender for second place. A July 2026 Genial/Quaest survey positioned ex-governor Helder Barbalho (MDB) in the lead at 21-23%, while federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and former senator Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) hovered near 14-15% in stimulated scenarios, with several other names—including Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União), and newer entrants like Breno Guimarães (Mobiliza, launched August 5)—trailing or untested at scale. High volatility stems from 57% of respondents indicating they could still switch preferences, limited recent statewide polling, and the two-month window before October voting, which keeps multiple paths open depending on party alliances, regional turnout, and campaign momentum.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Pará Senate race, where voters select two candidates for the state's federal seats and the top two finishers prevail, trader consensus reflects a fragmented contest with no dominant contender for second place. A July 2026 Genial/Quaest survey positioned ex-governor Helder Barbalho (MDB) in the lead at 21-23%, while federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and former senator Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) hovered near 14-15% in stimulated scenarios, with several other names—including Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União), and newer entrants like Breno Guimarães (Mobiliza, launched August 5)—trailing or untested at scale. High volatility stems from 57% of respondents indicating they could still switch preferences, limited recent statewide polling, and the two-month window before October voting, which keeps multiple paths open depending on party alliances, regional turnout, and campaign momentum.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Pará Senate race, where voters select two candidates for the state's federal seats and the top two finishers prevail, trader consensus reflects a fragmented contest with no dominant contender for second place. A July 2026 Genial/Quaest survey positioned ex-governor Helder Barbalho (MDB) in the lead at 21-23%, while federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and former senator Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) hovered near 14-15% in stimulated scenarios, with several other names—including Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União), and newer entrants like Breno Guimarães (Mobiliza, launched August 5)—trailing or untested at scale. High volatility stems from 57% of respondents indicating they could still switch preferences, limited recent statewide polling, and the two-month window before October voting, which keeps multiple paths open depending on party alliances, regional turnout, and campaign momentum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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