The State Duma elections concluded on September 20, 2026, with United Russia posting preliminary results near 57% on processed protocols and exit polls from VTsIOM at 49.4%. This positioning reflects the party's entrenched advantages in a controlled electoral system where only Kremlin-aligned parties cleared the 5% threshold, meaningful opposition candidates were largely excluded, and the vote was framed as a demonstration of support for the Ukraine conflict. Turnout reached 56.7%, above the prior cycle, amid reports of cyberattacks and Ukrainian drone strikes that authorities said did not materially disrupt proceedings. Final certified figures, expected shortly, will determine resolution, with historical patterns and single-mandate district strength supporting the current trader consensus around the 55-60% band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui55-60% 84%
60%+ 11.4%
50-55% 5%
45-50% <1%
$33,545 Vol.
$33,545 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<40%
<1%
40-45%
<1%
45-50%
1%
50-55%
5%
55-60%
84%
60%+
11%
55-60% 84%
60%+ 11.4%
50-55% 5%
45-50% <1%
$33,545 Vol.
$33,545 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<40%
$146 Vol.
<1%
40-45%
$578 Vol.
<1%
45-50%
$5,432 Vol.
1%
50-55%
$7,920 Vol.
5%
55-60%
$5,151 Vol.
84%
60%+
$14,319 Vol.
11%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The State Duma elections concluded on September 20, 2026, with United Russia posting preliminary results near 57% on processed protocols and exit polls from VTsIOM at 49.4%. This positioning reflects the party's entrenched advantages in a controlled electoral system where only Kremlin-aligned parties cleared the 5% threshold, meaningful opposition candidates were largely excluded, and the vote was framed as a demonstration of support for the Ukraine conflict. Turnout reached 56.7%, above the prior cycle, amid reports of cyberattacks and Ukrainian drone strikes that authorities said did not materially disrupt proceedings. Final certified figures, expected shortly, will determine resolution, with historical patterns and single-mandate district strength supporting the current trader consensus around the 55-60% band.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$33,545Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The State Duma elections concluded on September 20, 2026, with United Russia posting preliminary results near 57% on processed protocols and exit polls from VTsIOM at 49.4%. This positioning reflects the party's entrenched advantages in a controlled electoral system where only Kremlin-aligned parties cleared the 5% threshold, meaningful opposition candidates were largely excluded, and the vote was framed as a demonstration of support for the Ukraine conflict. Turnout reached 56.7%, above the prior cycle, amid reports of cyberattacks and Ukrainian drone strikes that authorities said did not materially disrupt proceedings. Final certified figures, expected shortly, will determine resolution, with historical patterns and single-mandate district strength supporting the current trader consensus around the 55-60% band.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$33,545Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The State Duma elections concluded on September 20, 2026, with United Russia posting preliminary results near 57% on processed protocols and exit polls from VTsIOM at 49.4%. This positioning reflects the party's entrenched advantages in a controlled electoral system where only Kremlin-aligned parties cleared the 5% threshold, meaningful opposition candidates were largely excluded, and the vote was framed as a demonstration of support for the Ukraine conflict. Turnout reached 56.7%, above the prior cycle, amid reports of cyberattacks and Ukrainian drone strikes that authorities said did not materially disrupt proceedings. Final certified figures, expected shortly, will determine resolution, with historical patterns and single-mandate district strength supporting the current trader consensus around the 55-60% band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan