LDPR holds a commanding position in the Russia State Duma election third-place market due to consistent polling trends and early official results from the September 18–20 vote. Exit polls and partial counts after roughly 20% of protocols processed placed LDPR at approximately 8.7–9.3%, ahead of New People near 7.9–8% and well behind United Russia and the CPRF. LDPR’s established nationalist base and single-mandate strength have sustained this edge, while New People has shown limited urban momentum insufficient to close the gap. Trader consensus at 92.5% for LDPR reflects these verifiable tallies and historical patterns of the four systemic parties clearing the threshold. Shifts remain possible only if final Central Election Commission certification reveals major discrepancies in remaining ballots or single-mandate outcomes, though current margins make such reversals unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 95%
New People (NL) 6%
United Russia (ER) <1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
$244,569 Vol.
$244,569 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
95%
New People (NL)
6%
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 95%
New People (NL) 6%
United Russia (ER) <1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
$244,569 Vol.
$244,569 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$75,855 Vol.
95%
New People (NL)
$80,662 Vol.
6%
United Russia (ER)
$7,726 Vol.
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$39,023 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$20,954 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$4,019 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,593 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$13,737 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.LDPR holds a commanding position in the Russia State Duma election third-place market due to consistent polling trends and early official results from the September 18–20 vote. Exit polls and partial counts after roughly 20% of protocols processed placed LDPR at approximately 8.7–9.3%, ahead of New People near 7.9–8% and well behind United Russia and the CPRF. LDPR’s established nationalist base and single-mandate strength have sustained this edge, while New People has shown limited urban momentum insufficient to close the gap. Trader consensus at 92.5% for LDPR reflects these verifiable tallies and historical patterns of the four systemic parties clearing the threshold. Shifts remain possible only if final Central Election Commission certification reveals major discrepancies in remaining ballots or single-mandate outcomes, though current margins make such reversals unlikely.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$244,569Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.LDPR holds a commanding position in the Russia State Duma election third-place market due to consistent polling trends and early official results from the September 18–20 vote. Exit polls and partial counts after roughly 20% of protocols processed placed LDPR at approximately 8.7–9.3%, ahead of New People near 7.9–8% and well behind United Russia and the CPRF. LDPR’s established nationalist base and single-mandate strength have sustained this edge, while New People has shown limited urban momentum insufficient to close the gap. Trader consensus at 92.5% for LDPR reflects these verifiable tallies and historical patterns of the four systemic parties clearing the threshold. Shifts remain possible only if final Central Election Commission certification reveals major discrepancies in remaining ballots or single-mandate outcomes, though current margins make such reversals unlikely.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$244,569Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...LDPR holds a commanding position in the Russia State Duma election third-place market due to consistent polling trends and early official results from the September 18–20 vote. Exit polls and partial counts after roughly 20% of protocols processed placed LDPR at approximately 8.7–9.3%, ahead of New People near 7.9–8% and well behind United Russia and the CPRF. LDPR’s established nationalist base and single-mandate strength have sustained this edge, while New People has shown limited urban momentum insufficient to close the gap. Trader consensus at 92.5% for LDPR reflects these verifiable tallies and historical patterns of the four systemic parties clearing the threshold. Shifts remain possible only if final Central Election Commission certification reveals major discrepancies in remaining ballots or single-mandate outcomes, though current margins make such reversals unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
91%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
98%
Apakah Rusia Bersatu (ER) akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Rusia berikutnya?
100%
Ya
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