Alexey Russkikh maintains a commanding lead in the Ulyanovsk Oblast gubernatorial election market at 98.5% implied probability as the incumbent seeking a second term. Voting concluded on September 20, 2026, with early tallies showing him at roughly 77-82% of the vote against registered challengers Marina Kim of A Just Russia, Sergey Marinin of the LDPR, and Yulia Yasaytis of New People. His position reflects standard regional election dynamics in Russia, including established administrative resources, backing from the Communist Party with United Russia support, and the absence of viable opposition. Low single-digit shares for other candidates align with limited campaign momentum. Late procedural disputes or turnout anomalies remain the primary factors that could still shift final certification, though none have surfaced in initial reporting.