Democratic Party of Korea candidate Shin Yong-han commands overwhelming trader consensus at 94% implied probability to win the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, fueled by consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over People Power Party incumbent Kim Young-hwan, including 51%-31% (April 24) and 50%-39% (early May). Shin's momentum stems from his primary victory, party switch appeal, and criticisms of Kim's Osong project amid national Democratic advantages, while Kim overcame PPP nomination turmoil via court ruling but trails among younger voters. Official campaigning launched May 14 with candidate registrations. Late scandals, conservative turnout surge, or Osong backlash could narrow the gap in this single-round plurality vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni per il governatore della provincia di Chungcheongbuk
Vincitore delle elezioni per il governatore della provincia di Chungcheongbuk
Shin Yong-han 94.1%
Yoon Hee-geun 2.5%
Kim Young-hwan 1.0%
Song Ki-sub 1.0%
$38,300 Vol.
$38,300 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
94%
Yoon Hee-geun
2%
Kim Young-hwan
1%
Song Ki-sub
1%
Do Jong-hwan
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
1%
Lee Jong-bae
<1%
Noh Yeong-min
<1%
Shin Yong-han 94.1%
Yoon Hee-geun 2.5%
Kim Young-hwan 1.0%
Song Ki-sub 1.0%
$38,300 Vol.
$38,300 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
94%
Yoon Hee-geun
2%
Kim Young-hwan
1%
Song Ki-sub
1%
Do Jong-hwan
1%
Cho Gil-hyeong
1%
Lee Jong-bae
<1%
Noh Yeong-min
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercato aperto: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Party of Korea candidate Shin Yong-han commands overwhelming trader consensus at 94% implied probability to win the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, fueled by consistent double-digit leads in recent polls over People Power Party incumbent Kim Young-hwan, including 51%-31% (April 24) and 50%-39% (early May). Shin's momentum stems from his primary victory, party switch appeal, and criticisms of Kim's Osong project amid national Democratic advantages, while Kim overcame PPP nomination turmoil via court ruling but trails among younger voters. Official campaigning launched May 14 with candidate registrations. Late scandals, conservative turnout surge, or Osong backlash could narrow the gap in this single-round plurality vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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