Erdoğan's current presidential term, secured in the 2023 election, extends through 2028 under Turkey's constitutional two-term limit, providing the primary structural barrier to any departure by December 2026. Recent months have shown no credible signals of resignation, health concerns, or party-led pressure for early transition, with the AKP maintaining unified support and focus on governance priorities. Opposition parties continue directing efforts toward the next scheduled vote rather than interim challenges. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for "No," as historical patterns favor incumbents completing terms absent major disruptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoErdoğan uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Erdoğan uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
Sì
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan's current presidential term, secured in the 2023 election, extends through 2028 under Turkey's constitutional two-term limit, providing the primary structural barrier to any departure by December 2026. Recent months have shown no credible signals of resignation, health concerns, or party-led pressure for early transition, with the AKP maintaining unified support and focus on governance priorities. Opposition parties continue directing efforts toward the next scheduled vote rather than interim challenges. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for "No," as historical patterns favor incumbents completing terms absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$348,914Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan's current presidential term, secured in the 2023 election, extends through 2028 under Turkey's constitutional two-term limit, providing the primary structural barrier to any departure by December 2026. Recent months have shown no credible signals of resignation, health concerns, or party-led pressure for early transition, with the AKP maintaining unified support and focus on governance priorities. Opposition parties continue directing efforts toward the next scheduled vote rather than interim challenges. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for "No," as historical patterns favor incumbents completing terms absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$348,914Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Erdoğan's current presidential term, secured in the 2023 election, extends through 2028 under Turkey's constitutional two-term limit, providing the primary structural barrier to any departure by December 2026. Recent months have shown no credible signals of resignation, health concerns, or party-led pressure for early transition, with the AKP maintaining unified support and focus on governance priorities. Opposition parties continue directing efforts toward the next scheduled vote rather than interim challenges. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for "No," as historical patterns favor incumbents completing terms absent major disruptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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