President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's firm rejection of early or interim elections, as stated after a cabinet meeting in early April 2026, underpins trader consensus favoring "No" at 89.5% implied probability. His term runs until the scheduled presidential election no later than May 2028 under Turkey's presidential system, with no snap election triggers activated despite opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) demands amid economic pressures like inflation and staged retirement disputes. Coalition partner MHP leader Devlet Bahçeli echoed this in mid-April, dismissing premature polls. Unverified health rumors persist but lack confirmation, while succession discussions focus post-2028, reinforcing low odds of departure by year-end barring unforeseen crises.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoErdoğan uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Erdoğan uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
Sì
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Guadagna il 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's firm rejection of early or interim elections, as stated after a cabinet meeting in early April 2026, underpins trader consensus favoring "No" at 89.5% implied probability. His term runs until the scheduled presidential election no later than May 2028 under Turkey's presidential system, with no snap election triggers activated despite opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) demands amid economic pressures like inflation and staged retirement disputes. Coalition partner MHP leader Devlet Bahçeli echoed this in mid-April, dismissing premature polls. Unverified health rumors persist but lack confirmation, while succession discussions focus post-2028, reinforcing low odds of departure by year-end barring unforeseen crises.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$348,914Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's firm rejection of early or interim elections, as stated after a cabinet meeting in early April 2026, underpins trader consensus favoring "No" at 89.5% implied probability. His term runs until the scheduled presidential election no later than May 2028 under Turkey's presidential system, with no snap election triggers activated despite opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) demands amid economic pressures like inflation and staged retirement disputes. Coalition partner MHP leader Devlet Bahçeli echoed this in mid-April, dismissing premature polls. Unverified health rumors persist but lack confirmation, while succession discussions focus post-2028, reinforcing low odds of departure by year-end barring unforeseen crises.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$348,914Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's firm rejection of early or interim elections, as stated after a cabinet meeting in early April 2026, underpins trader consensus favoring "No" at 89.5% implied probability. His term runs until the scheduled presidential election no later than May 2028 under Turkey's presidential system, with no snap election triggers activated despite opposition Republican People's Party (CHP) demands amid economic pressures like inflation and staged retirement disputes. Coalition partner MHP leader Devlet Bahçeli echoed this in mid-April, dismissing premature polls. Unverified health rumors persist but lack confirmation, while succession discussions focus post-2028, reinforcing low odds of departure by year-end barring unforeseen crises.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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