Current forecast guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consensus places Ankara’s peak temperature on May 17 near 19 °C under stable high pressure and light southerly flow typical of mid-May climatology across the central Anatolian plateau. This positioning aligns with observed conditions at Esenboğa International Airport, the market resolution source, where daytime heating remains modest amid partly cloudy skies and afternoon shower chances that limit maximum readings. Historical mid-May averages of 20–24 °C provide context, yet recent model runs show slightly cooler air advection keeping the most probable outcomes clustered at 18–20 °C. Traders monitor updated short-range guidance for any late-day warming or clearing that could shift probabilities toward the 21 °C or higher brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 17 maggio?
19°C 38%
18°C 24%
20°C 24%
21°C 9%
$14,575 Vol.
$14,575 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
24%
19°C
38%
20°C
24%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C o superiore
<1%
19°C 38%
18°C 24%
20°C 24%
21°C 9%
$14,575 Vol.
$14,575 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
24%
19°C
38%
20°C
24%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACCurrent forecast guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consensus places Ankara’s peak temperature on May 17 near 19 °C under stable high pressure and light southerly flow typical of mid-May climatology across the central Anatolian plateau. This positioning aligns with observed conditions at Esenboğa International Airport, the market resolution source, where daytime heating remains modest amid partly cloudy skies and afternoon shower chances that limit maximum readings. Historical mid-May averages of 20–24 °C provide context, yet recent model runs show slightly cooler air advection keeping the most probable outcomes clustered at 18–20 °C. Traders monitor updated short-range guidance for any late-day warming or clearing that could shift probabilities toward the 21 °C or higher brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti