Official National Weather Service observations and local station data confirmed a daily high of 100–101°F in Austin on August 4, 2026, under sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning precisely with pre-event model consensus. This outcome exceeded the long-term August average of 96–98°F amid a broader 2026 pattern of warmer-than-normal conditions across central Texas, including multiple triple-digit days. Market-implied odds near 100% on this narrow band reflect traders’ confidence in verified measurements from primary sites like Camp Mabry, with minimal uncertainty once the calendar day closed. Only rare post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are infrequent for daily maximums.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 4 agosto?
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F o meno <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$31,614 Vol.
$31,614 Vol.
4 ago 2026
89°F o meno
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
100%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o superiore
<1%
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F o meno <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$31,614 Vol.
$31,614 Vol.
4 ago 2026
89°F o meno
$539 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,072 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$1,496 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$1,976 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$5,311 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$6,738 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$8,800 Vol.
100%
102-103°F
$3,289 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$1,175 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$670 Vol.
<1%
108°F o superiore
$551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and local station data confirmed a daily high of 100–101°F in Austin on August 4, 2026, under sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning precisely with pre-event model consensus. This outcome exceeded the long-term August average of 96–98°F amid a broader 2026 pattern of warmer-than-normal conditions across central Texas, including multiple triple-digit days. Market-implied odds near 100% on this narrow band reflect traders’ confidence in verified measurements from primary sites like Camp Mabry, with minimal uncertainty once the calendar day closed. Only rare post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are infrequent for daily maximums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$31,614Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and local station data confirmed a daily high of 100–101°F in Austin on August 4, 2026, under sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning precisely with pre-event model consensus. This outcome exceeded the long-term August average of 96–98°F amid a broader 2026 pattern of warmer-than-normal conditions across central Texas, including multiple triple-digit days. Market-implied odds near 100% on this narrow band reflect traders’ confidence in verified measurements from primary sites like Camp Mabry, with minimal uncertainty once the calendar day closed. Only rare post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are infrequent for daily maximums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,614Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations and local station data confirmed a daily high of 100–101°F in Austin on August 4, 2026, under sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning precisely with pre-event model consensus. This outcome exceeded the long-term August average of 96–98°F amid a broader 2026 pattern of warmer-than-normal conditions across central Texas, including multiple triple-digit days. Market-implied odds near 100% on this narrow band reflect traders’ confidence in verified measurements from primary sites like Camp Mabry, with minimal uncertainty once the calendar day closed. Only rare post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are infrequent for daily maximums.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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