Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high near 19°C in Beijing on May 17, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with late-spring climatology, where Beijing’s average May highs reach about 25°C yet can dip several degrees under stable high-pressure patterns or residual cool air advection. The market’s strong 53.5% implied probability on 19°C reflects trader assessment of these conditions, with 18°C and 20°C as close alternatives should observations at official stations vary slightly from model runs. Updated surface observations and final 24-hour maximum readings will determine resolution within the next few hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Pechino il 17 maggio?
19°C 54%
18°C 20.9%
20°C 18%
21°C 5%
NUOVO
$30,201 Vol.
NUOVO
$30,201 Vol.
17 mag 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
21%
19°C
54%
20°C
18%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 54%
18°C 20.9%
20°C 18%
21°C 5%
NUOVO
$30,201 Vol.
NUOVO
$30,201 Vol.
17 mag 2026
13°C or below
$506 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$629 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,749 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,142 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,903 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,008 Vol.
21%
19°C
$1,823 Vol.
54%
20°C
$1,941 Vol.
18%
21°C
$1,687 Vol.
5%
22°C
$3,215 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$4,127 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high near 19°C in Beijing on May 17, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with late-spring climatology, where Beijing’s average May highs reach about 25°C yet can dip several degrees under stable high-pressure patterns or residual cool air advection. The market’s strong 53.5% implied probability on 19°C reflects trader assessment of these conditions, with 18°C and 20°C as close alternatives should observations at official stations vary slightly from model runs. Updated surface observations and final 24-hour maximum readings will determine resolution within the next few hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$30,201Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high near 19°C in Beijing on May 17, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with late-spring climatology, where Beijing’s average May highs reach about 25°C yet can dip several degrees under stable high-pressure patterns or residual cool air advection. The market’s strong 53.5% implied probability on 19°C reflects trader assessment of these conditions, with 18°C and 20°C as close alternatives should observations at official stations vary slightly from model runs. Updated surface observations and final 24-hour maximum readings will determine resolution within the next few hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,201Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high near 19°C in Beijing on May 17, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with late-spring climatology, where Beijing’s average May highs reach about 25°C yet can dip several degrees under stable high-pressure patterns or residual cool air advection. The market’s strong 53.5% implied probability on 19°C reflects trader assessment of these conditions, with 18°C and 20°C as close alternatives should observations at official stations vary slightly from model runs. Updated surface observations and final 24-hour maximum readings will determine resolution within the next few hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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