Current forecast consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 20°C in Cape Town today, underpinning the market’s 99.9% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover are expected to produce typical mid-autumn temperatures, consistent with long-term May averages of 18–22°C recorded at official stations such as Cape Town International Airport. Resolution depends on verified observations through the full 24-hour period. A rapid onshore breeze or unforecasted marine layer could push the reading slightly lower, while clear skies and stronger insolation remain the main variables that might briefly elevate it, though model agreement currently limits that likelihood.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Città del Capo il 17 maggio?
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$18,913 Vol.
$18,913 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$18,913 Vol.
$18,913 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTCurrent forecast consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 20°C in Cape Town today, underpinning the market’s 99.9% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover are expected to produce typical mid-autumn temperatures, consistent with long-term May averages of 18–22°C recorded at official stations such as Cape Town International Airport. Resolution depends on verified observations through the full 24-hour period. A rapid onshore breeze or unforecasted marine layer could push the reading slightly lower, while clear skies and stronger insolation remain the main variables that might briefly elevate it, though model agreement currently limits that likelihood.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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