Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models show strong consensus around a 27°C daily high for Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and light patchy rain that has suppressed peak daytime heating below mid-May climatological norms of 29–30°C. This positioning reflects trader assessment of current steering patterns and moisture influx typical of pre-monsoon conditions, with official station readings at Baiyun International Airport serving as the resolution source. While model agreement supports this outcome with high confidence, unexpected afternoon clearing or shifts in convective activity could still push temperatures modestly higher before evening observations finalize the result.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 17 maggio?
27°C 100.0%
22°C o inferiore <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,052 Vol.
$30,052 Vol.
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C o inferiore <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,052 Vol.
$30,052 Vol.
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models show strong consensus around a 27°C daily high for Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and light patchy rain that has suppressed peak daytime heating below mid-May climatological norms of 29–30°C. This positioning reflects trader assessment of current steering patterns and moisture influx typical of pre-monsoon conditions, with official station readings at Baiyun International Airport serving as the resolution source. While model agreement supports this outcome with high confidence, unexpected afternoon clearing or shifts in convective activity could still push temperatures modestly higher before evening observations finalize the result.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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