Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Subtropical high pressure and clear skies promoted strong daytime heating across the territory, consistent with late-spring climatology where urban heat island effects often elevate readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Official automated station data from multiple sites, including the peak at the Central station, aligned precisely on this threshold without exceeding it. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler easterly winds or persistent afternoon cloud cover could have shifted the high downward, yet neither occurred during the critical warming window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 15 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 15 maggio?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 Vol.
$292,433 Vol.
15 mag 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 Vol.
$292,433 Vol.
15 mag 2026
19°C o inferiore
$3,583 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Vol.
100%
28°C
$45,405 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$35,841 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Subtropical high pressure and clear skies promoted strong daytime heating across the territory, consistent with late-spring climatology where urban heat island effects often elevate readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Official automated station data from multiple sites, including the peak at the Central station, aligned precisely on this threshold without exceeding it. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler easterly winds or persistent afternoon cloud cover could have shifted the high downward, yet neither occurred during the critical warming window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$292,433Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Subtropical high pressure and clear skies promoted strong daytime heating across the territory, consistent with late-spring climatology where urban heat island effects often elevate readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Official automated station data from multiple sites, including the peak at the Central station, aligned precisely on this threshold without exceeding it. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler easterly winds or persistent afternoon cloud cover could have shifted the high downward, yet neither occurred during the critical warming window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$292,433Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Subtropical high pressure and clear skies promoted strong daytime heating across the territory, consistent with late-spring climatology where urban heat island effects often elevate readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Official automated station data from multiple sites, including the peak at the Central station, aligned precisely on this threshold without exceeding it. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler easterly winds or persistent afternoon cloud cover could have shifted the high downward, yet neither occurred during the critical warming window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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