Recent atmospheric patterns over the South China Sea, including a weakening subtropical ridge and moderate southerly flow, are driving trader consensus toward a highest temperature of 27°C or 28°C in Hong Kong on May 18, with implied probabilities of 39.5% and 32.5% respectively. Official guidance from regional models shows daytime maxima likely reaching 27–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with climatological May averages near 28°C. Ensemble variability in humidity and cloud cover creates the tight spread, while minimal rain probability keeps extremes below 30°C unlikely at 1.1%. Updated morning observations and refined numerical forecasts expected later today will further narrow the resolution window for this temperature threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 18 maggio?
27°C 39%
28°C 34%
26°C 18%
29°C 8.0%
NUOVO
$73,255 Vol.
NUOVO
$73,255 Vol.
18 mag 2026
21°C o meno
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
18%
27°C
39%
28°C
34%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
1%
27°C 39%
28°C 34%
26°C 18%
29°C 8.0%
NUOVO
$73,255 Vol.
NUOVO
$73,255 Vol.
18 mag 2026
21°C o meno
$5,221 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,756 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$14,385 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,139 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,251 Vol.
7%
26°C
$6,918 Vol.
18%
27°C
$4,334 Vol.
39%
28°C
$3,667 Vol.
34%
29°C
$7,372 Vol.
8%
30°C
$5,246 Vol.
1%
31°C o superiore
$7,973 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent atmospheric patterns over the South China Sea, including a weakening subtropical ridge and moderate southerly flow, are driving trader consensus toward a highest temperature of 27°C or 28°C in Hong Kong on May 18, with implied probabilities of 39.5% and 32.5% respectively. Official guidance from regional models shows daytime maxima likely reaching 27–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with climatological May averages near 28°C. Ensemble variability in humidity and cloud cover creates the tight spread, while minimal rain probability keeps extremes below 30°C unlikely at 1.1%. Updated morning observations and refined numerical forecasts expected later today will further narrow the resolution window for this temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$73,255Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent atmospheric patterns over the South China Sea, including a weakening subtropical ridge and moderate southerly flow, are driving trader consensus toward a highest temperature of 27°C or 28°C in Hong Kong on May 18, with implied probabilities of 39.5% and 32.5% respectively. Official guidance from regional models shows daytime maxima likely reaching 27–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with climatological May averages near 28°C. Ensemble variability in humidity and cloud cover creates the tight spread, while minimal rain probability keeps extremes below 30°C unlikely at 1.1%. Updated morning observations and refined numerical forecasts expected later today will further narrow the resolution window for this temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,255Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent atmospheric patterns over the South China Sea, including a weakening subtropical ridge and moderate southerly flow, are driving trader consensus toward a highest temperature of 27°C or 28°C in Hong Kong on May 18, with implied probabilities of 39.5% and 32.5% respectively. Official guidance from regional models shows daytime maxima likely reaching 27–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with climatological May averages near 28°C. Ensemble variability in humidity and cloud cover creates the tight spread, while minimal rain probability keeps extremes below 30°C unlikely at 1.1%. Updated morning observations and refined numerical forecasts expected later today will further narrow the resolution window for this temperature threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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