Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Houston on August 5, 2026, with model consensus favoring 96–97 °F amid persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and elevated Gulf moisture. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 94 °F, but current surface observations and short-range model runs indicate slightly above-normal warmth before any afternoon convective development. The narrow spread in market-implied odds around 94–97 °F reflects this forecast stability, while the low probability assigned to 98 °F or higher accounts for the modest risk that reduced cloud cover or delayed sea-breeze effects could push readings marginally higher before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Houston il 5 agosto?
96-97°F 56%
94-95°F 35%
98-99°F 10%
92-93°F 4%
NUOVO
$11,736 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,736 Vol.
5 ago 2026
87°F o meno
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
56%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F o superiore
<1%
96-97°F 56%
94-95°F 35%
98-99°F 10%
92-93°F 4%
NUOVO
$11,736 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,736 Vol.
5 ago 2026
87°F o meno
$829 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$456 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$646 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$643 Vol.
4%
94-95°F
$2,496 Vol.
35%
96-97°F
$3,411 Vol.
56%
98-99°F
$1,276 Vol.
10%
100-101°F
$625 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$485 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$451 Vol.
<1%
106°F o superiore
$417 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Houston on August 5, 2026, with model consensus favoring 96–97 °F amid persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and elevated Gulf moisture. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 94 °F, but current surface observations and short-range model runs indicate slightly above-normal warmth before any afternoon convective development. The narrow spread in market-implied odds around 94–97 °F reflects this forecast stability, while the low probability assigned to 98 °F or higher accounts for the modest risk that reduced cloud cover or delayed sea-breeze effects could push readings marginally higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$11,736Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Houston on August 5, 2026, with model consensus favoring 96–97 °F amid persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and elevated Gulf moisture. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 94 °F, but current surface observations and short-range model runs indicate slightly above-normal warmth before any afternoon convective development. The narrow spread in market-implied odds around 94–97 °F reflects this forecast stability, while the low probability assigned to 98 °F or higher accounts for the modest risk that reduced cloud cover or delayed sea-breeze effects could push readings marginally higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,736Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Houston on August 5, 2026, with model consensus favoring 96–97 °F amid persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and elevated Gulf moisture. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 94 °F, but current surface observations and short-range model runs indicate slightly above-normal warmth before any afternoon convective development. The narrow spread in market-implied odds around 94–97 °F reflects this forecast stability, while the low probability assigned to 98 °F or higher accounts for the modest risk that reduced cloud cover or delayed sea-breeze effects could push readings marginally higher before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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