Traders see 37–39°C as the most probable peak for Jeddah’s August 5 maximum because official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and aqi.in place the high near 36–37°C (99–99°F), while historical August averages hover around 38°C and NCM guidance flags above-normal heat across western Saudi Arabia. Coastal sea breezes from the Red Sea and high humidity typically cap daytime heating, creating tight clustering among these outcomes. Small forecast differences in wind timing, cloud cover, or model resolution explain the close 33.5%–24% spread; warmer 40°C+ scenarios remain lower probability absent stronger subsidence or delayed marine influence. Updated NCM briefings and late-day observations are the next likely market movers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Gedda il 5 agosto?
38°C 34%
39°C 27%
37°C 24%
40°C o superiore 9%
$18,443 Vol.
$18,443 Vol.
30°C o inferiore
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
5%
37°C
24%
38°C
34%
39°C
27%
40°C o superiore
9%
38°C 34%
39°C 27%
37°C 24%
40°C o superiore 9%
$18,443 Vol.
$18,443 Vol.
30°C o inferiore
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
5%
37°C
24%
38°C
34%
39°C
27%
40°C o superiore
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 37–39°C as the most probable peak for Jeddah’s August 5 maximum because official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and aqi.in place the high near 36–37°C (99–99°F), while historical August averages hover around 38°C and NCM guidance flags above-normal heat across western Saudi Arabia. Coastal sea breezes from the Red Sea and high humidity typically cap daytime heating, creating tight clustering among these outcomes. Small forecast differences in wind timing, cloud cover, or model resolution explain the close 33.5%–24% spread; warmer 40°C+ scenarios remain lower probability absent stronger subsidence or delayed marine influence. Updated NCM briefings and late-day observations are the next likely market movers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti