Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C in London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England supports this range, with observed trends and model agreement leaving minimal room for deviation. Any late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet the current scientific consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher below 1%. Official Met Office verification of final hourly data will confirm the exact high once the day concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 17 maggio?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$165,748 Vol.
$165,748 Vol.
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$165,748 Vol.
$165,748 Vol.
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
$997 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,915 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$8,287 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$12,717 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$13,309 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$19,210 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$26,785 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$35,917 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$20,483 Vol.
100%
19°C
$19,942 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C in London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England supports this range, with observed trends and model agreement leaving minimal room for deviation. Any late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet the current scientific consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher below 1%. Official Met Office verification of final hourly data will confirm the exact high once the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$165,748Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C in London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England supports this range, with observed trends and model agreement leaving minimal room for deviation. Any late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet the current scientific consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher below 1%. Official Met Office verification of final hourly data will confirm the exact high once the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$165,748Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C in London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England supports this range, with observed trends and model agreement leaving minimal room for deviation. Any late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet the current scientific consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher below 1%. Official Met Office verification of final hourly data will confirm the exact high once the day concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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