Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts project Lucknow’s maximum temperature around 41°C today, supported by above-normal pre-monsoon rainfall across Uttar Pradesh that has suppressed daytime heating and limited intensification. This aligns with climatological May averages of 39–42°C for the Ganges Plain while reflecting cooler-than-normal conditions expected across much of northern India for the month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 68% implied probability for 41°C or below, incorporates these official guidance updates and model consensus favoring modest winds and increased cloud cover that cap peak readings. Official verification later today will resolve the market against the IMD’s recorded high, with any last-minute convective activity or clearer skies the key variables that could shift outcomes toward the 42°C bracket.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 17 maggio?
41°C or below 67%
42°C 25%
43°C 5.5%
44°C 2.6%
$17,231 Vol.
$17,231 Vol.
41°C or below
67%
42°C
25%
43°C
6%
44°C
3%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 67%
42°C 25%
43°C 5.5%
44°C 2.6%
$17,231 Vol.
$17,231 Vol.
41°C or below
67%
42°C
25%
43°C
6%
44°C
3%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts project Lucknow’s maximum temperature around 41°C today, supported by above-normal pre-monsoon rainfall across Uttar Pradesh that has suppressed daytime heating and limited intensification. This aligns with climatological May averages of 39–42°C for the Ganges Plain while reflecting cooler-than-normal conditions expected across much of northern India for the month. Trader consensus, reflected in the 68% implied probability for 41°C or below, incorporates these official guidance updates and model consensus favoring modest winds and increased cloud cover that cap peak readings. Official verification later today will resolve the market against the IMD’s recorded high, with any last-minute convective activity or clearer skies the key variables that could shift outcomes toward the 42°C bracket.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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