Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts project a maximum of 43°C in Lucknow on May 17 under clear skies, yet market-implied odds assign 85.5% probability to 41°C or below. This positioning stems from recent below-normal daytime readings of 36–41°C amid pre-monsoon conditions in the Indo-Gangetic plain, where climatological averages for mid-May range 39–42°C. Traders appear to weigh potential moderating effects from local moisture or weak western disturbances against typical heat-wave thresholds of 40°C or higher. Official model consensus shows limited intensification risk, with resolution tied to the verified 24-hour maximum observation. Updated IMD guidance and satellite-derived temperature trends over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 17 maggio?
41°C or below 84%
42°C 12%
43°C 2.6%
44°C 1.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
41°C or below
84%
42°C
12%
43°C
3%
44°C
1%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 84%
42°C 12%
43°C 2.6%
44°C 1.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
41°C or below
$549 Vol.
84%
42°C
$647 Vol.
12%
43°C
$192 Vol.
3%
44°C
$315 Vol.
1%
45°C
$465 Vol.
1%
46°C
$373 Vol.
1%
47°C
$419 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$711 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$711 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$711 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$999 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts project a maximum of 43°C in Lucknow on May 17 under clear skies, yet market-implied odds assign 85.5% probability to 41°C or below. This positioning stems from recent below-normal daytime readings of 36–41°C amid pre-monsoon conditions in the Indo-Gangetic plain, where climatological averages for mid-May range 39–42°C. Traders appear to weigh potential moderating effects from local moisture or weak western disturbances against typical heat-wave thresholds of 40°C or higher. Official model consensus shows limited intensification risk, with resolution tied to the verified 24-hour maximum observation. Updated IMD guidance and satellite-derived temperature trends over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$6,091Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts project a maximum of 43°C in Lucknow on May 17 under clear skies, yet market-implied odds assign 85.5% probability to 41°C or below. This positioning stems from recent below-normal daytime readings of 36–41°C amid pre-monsoon conditions in the Indo-Gangetic plain, where climatological averages for mid-May range 39–42°C. Traders appear to weigh potential moderating effects from local moisture or weak western disturbances against typical heat-wave thresholds of 40°C or higher. Official model consensus shows limited intensification risk, with resolution tied to the verified 24-hour maximum observation. Updated IMD guidance and satellite-derived temperature trends over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,091Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts project a maximum of 43°C in Lucknow on May 17 under clear skies, yet market-implied odds assign 85.5% probability to 41°C or below. This positioning stems from recent below-normal daytime readings of 36–41°C amid pre-monsoon conditions in the Indo-Gangetic plain, where climatological averages for mid-May range 39–42°C. Traders appear to weigh potential moderating effects from local moisture or weak western disturbances against typical heat-wave thresholds of 40°C or higher. Official model consensus shows limited intensification risk, with resolution tied to the verified 24-hour maximum observation. Updated IMD guidance and satellite-derived temperature trends over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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