Recent forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting a peak temperature near 26–27°C on May 19 with light winds and minimal cloud cover. These conditions create a narrow range of possible outcomes, as small shifts in afternoon heating or boundary-layer moisture can easily push the daily high up or down by 1–2°C. The market’s tight distribution around 26–28°C reflects this limited variability, consistent with mid-May climatology that averages 24–25°C yet allows brief warm spikes under clear skies. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 19 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 19 maggio?
27°C 32%
26°C 26%
28°C 21%
29°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 mag 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
26%
27°C
32%
28°C
21%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
5%
27°C 32%
26°C 26%
28°C 21%
29°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 mag 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
1%
22°C
$38 Vol.
1%
23°C
$66 Vol.
2%
24°C
$147 Vol.
3%
25°C
$88 Vol.
12%
26°C
$76 Vol.
26%
27°C
$167 Vol.
32%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$0 Vol.
15%
30°C or higher
$29 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting a peak temperature near 26–27°C on May 19 with light winds and minimal cloud cover. These conditions create a narrow range of possible outcomes, as small shifts in afternoon heating or boundary-layer moisture can easily push the daily high up or down by 1–2°C. The market’s tight distribution around 26–28°C reflects this limited variability, consistent with mid-May climatology that averages 24–25°C yet allows brief warm spikes under clear skies. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$617Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting a peak temperature near 26–27°C on May 19 with light winds and minimal cloud cover. These conditions create a narrow range of possible outcomes, as small shifts in afternoon heating or boundary-layer moisture can easily push the daily high up or down by 1–2°C. The market’s tight distribution around 26–28°C reflects this limited variability, consistent with mid-May climatology that averages 24–25°C yet allows brief warm spikes under clear skies. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$617Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDRecent forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Madrid under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting a peak temperature near 26–27°C on May 19 with light winds and minimal cloud cover. These conditions create a narrow range of possible outcomes, as small shifts in afternoon heating or boundary-layer moisture can easily push the daily high up or down by 1–2°C. The market’s tight distribution around 26–28°C reflects this limited variability, consistent with mid-May climatology that averages 24–25°C yet allows brief warm spikes under clear skies. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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