Persistent monsoon rains and cloudy skies over Metro Manila on August 5, 2026, driven by the southwest monsoon and residual moisture from recent tropical systems, have kept daytime highs suppressed near 28°C according to official PAGASA forecasts showing 25–30°C ranges with 90% rain probability. This aligns with observed conditions featuring widespread showers and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology for August typically sees 30–31°C maxima, but active weather patterns this week have shifted the distribution lower, producing strong trader consensus around the 28°C threshold. A rapid clearing of clouds or localized subsidence could allow brief spikes toward 30°C, though model consensus and ongoing precipitation make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 5 agosto?
28°C 98%
29°C 2%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$20,301 Vol.
$20,301 Vol.
5 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
98%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 98%
29°C 2%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$20,301 Vol.
$20,301 Vol.
5 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$938 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$434 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,625 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,596 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,910 Vol.
98%
29°C
$4,036 Vol.
2%
30°C
$2,590 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,631 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$1,834 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon rains and cloudy skies over Metro Manila on August 5, 2026, driven by the southwest monsoon and residual moisture from recent tropical systems, have kept daytime highs suppressed near 28°C according to official PAGASA forecasts showing 25–30°C ranges with 90% rain probability. This aligns with observed conditions featuring widespread showers and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology for August typically sees 30–31°C maxima, but active weather patterns this week have shifted the distribution lower, producing strong trader consensus around the 28°C threshold. A rapid clearing of clouds or localized subsidence could allow brief spikes toward 30°C, though model consensus and ongoing precipitation make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$20,301Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon rains and cloudy skies over Metro Manila on August 5, 2026, driven by the southwest monsoon and residual moisture from recent tropical systems, have kept daytime highs suppressed near 28°C according to official PAGASA forecasts showing 25–30°C ranges with 90% rain probability. This aligns with observed conditions featuring widespread showers and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology for August typically sees 30–31°C maxima, but active weather patterns this week have shifted the distribution lower, producing strong trader consensus around the 28°C threshold. A rapid clearing of clouds or localized subsidence could allow brief spikes toward 30°C, though model consensus and ongoing precipitation make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,301Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon rains and cloudy skies over Metro Manila on August 5, 2026, driven by the southwest monsoon and residual moisture from recent tropical systems, have kept daytime highs suppressed near 28°C according to official PAGASA forecasts showing 25–30°C ranges with 90% rain probability. This aligns with observed conditions featuring widespread showers and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology for August typically sees 30–31°C maxima, but active weather patterns this week have shifted the distribution lower, producing strong trader consensus around the 28°C threshold. A rapid clearing of clouds or localized subsidence could allow brief spikes toward 30°C, though model consensus and ongoing precipitation make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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