Current forecast models indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Mexico City on August 27, with traders favoring this outcome alongside 25°C amid uncertainty in afternoon convective heating. High altitude near 2,240 meters and northeasterly flow limit surface warming, while 25% thunderstorm chances and increasing cloud cover could suppress peak insolation compared to clearer conditions on August 26. Scattered showers and moderate humidity further differentiate 23–26°C scenarios, consistent with typical late-August patterns of variable tropical moisture and modest diurnal ranges around the climatological 23–24°C high. New model runs and observational updates will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 27 agosto?
24°C 41%
25°C 32%
26°C 12%
23°C 11%
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
41%
25°C
32%
26°C
12%
27°C
2%
28°C o superiore
1%
24°C 41%
25°C 32%
26°C 12%
23°C 11%
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
41%
25°C
32%
26°C
12%
27°C
2%
28°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in Mexico City on August 27, with traders favoring this outcome alongside 25°C amid uncertainty in afternoon convective heating. High altitude near 2,240 meters and northeasterly flow limit surface warming, while 25% thunderstorm chances and increasing cloud cover could suppress peak insolation compared to clearer conditions on August 26. Scattered showers and moderate humidity further differentiate 23–26°C scenarios, consistent with typical late-August patterns of variable tropical moisture and modest diurnal ranges around the climatological 23–24°C high. New model runs and observational updates will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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