Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Miami il 15 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Miami il 15 maggio?
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F o inferiore <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$84,190 Vol.
$84,190 Vol.
15 mag 2026
81°F o inferiore
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Sì
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F o superiore
No
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F o inferiore <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$84,190 Vol.
$84,190 Vol.
15 mag 2026
81°F o inferiore
$3,063 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$2,203 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$3,320 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$10,756 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$9,387 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$14,772 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$16,003 Vol.
Sì
94-95°F
$12,597 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$8,141 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$1,134 Vol.
No
100°F o superiore
$2,813 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$84,190Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$84,190Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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