Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Miami on May 18 indicate a daytime high of 86–88°F under the influence of a subtropical ridge and moderate easterly flow. This setup favors typical late-spring conditions, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence providing modest cooling that caps temperatures near seasonal normals of 86–87°F while limiting the chance of stronger heating. Trader positioning aligns with these dynamics, placing the greatest implied probability on the 86–87°F bin and tapering sharply for outcomes above 90°F or below 84°F. No significant frontal systems or moisture surges are projected to alter this pattern before resolution, keeping uncertainty low and reinforcing the current market distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Miami il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Miami il 18 maggio?
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 26%
84-85°F 21%
92-93°F 12.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
77°F o meno
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
2%
96°F o superiore
1%
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 26%
84-85°F 21%
92-93°F 12.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
77°F o meno
$623 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$896 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$165 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$18 Vol.
9%
84-85°F
$17 Vol.
21%
86-87°F
$155 Vol.
37%
88-89°F
$236 Vol.
26%
90-91°F
$312 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$206 Vol.
7%
94-95°F
$70 Vol.
2%
96°F o superiore
$91 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Miami on May 18 indicate a daytime high of 86–88°F under the influence of a subtropical ridge and moderate easterly flow. This setup favors typical late-spring conditions, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence providing modest cooling that caps temperatures near seasonal normals of 86–87°F while limiting the chance of stronger heating. Trader positioning aligns with these dynamics, placing the greatest implied probability on the 86–87°F bin and tapering sharply for outcomes above 90°F or below 84°F. No significant frontal systems or moisture surges are projected to alter this pattern before resolution, keeping uncertainty low and reinforcing the current market distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,789Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Miami on May 18 indicate a daytime high of 86–88°F under the influence of a subtropical ridge and moderate easterly flow. This setup favors typical late-spring conditions, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence providing modest cooling that caps temperatures near seasonal normals of 86–87°F while limiting the chance of stronger heating. Trader positioning aligns with these dynamics, placing the greatest implied probability on the 86–87°F bin and tapering sharply for outcomes above 90°F or below 84°F. No significant frontal systems or moisture surges are projected to alter this pattern before resolution, keeping uncertainty low and reinforcing the current market distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,789Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIARecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Miami on May 18 indicate a daytime high of 86–88°F under the influence of a subtropical ridge and moderate easterly flow. This setup favors typical late-spring conditions, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence providing modest cooling that caps temperatures near seasonal normals of 86–87°F while limiting the chance of stronger heating. Trader positioning aligns with these dynamics, placing the greatest implied probability on the 86–87°F bin and tapering sharply for outcomes above 90°F or below 84°F. No significant frontal systems or moisture surges are projected to alter this pattern before resolution, keeping uncertainty low and reinforcing the current market distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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