National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently project partly cloudy skies over Miami with daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s, driven by typical late-spring subtropical humidity, light easterly flow, and sea-breeze influences that moderate peak temperatures near the historical May normal of 87 °F. These conditions underpin the market’s leading 42% implied probability on the 84–85 °F bracket and the 28.5% on 86–87 °F, while the 27% on 82–83 °F reflects lingering uncertainty in afternoon convection timing. Updated model runs and surface observations over the past 24 hours have tightened consensus around these ranges, with any stronger onshore winds or increased cloud cover likely to favor the lower brackets before final resolution at Miami International Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Miami il 17 maggio?
84-85°F 49%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 22.4%
88-89°F 3.5%
$65,387 Vol.
$65,387 Vol.
75°F o meno
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F o superiore
<1%
84-85°F 49%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 22.4%
88-89°F 3.5%
$65,387 Vol.
$65,387 Vol.
75°F o meno
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently project partly cloudy skies over Miami with daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s, driven by typical late-spring subtropical humidity, light easterly flow, and sea-breeze influences that moderate peak temperatures near the historical May normal of 87 °F. These conditions underpin the market’s leading 42% implied probability on the 84–85 °F bracket and the 28.5% on 86–87 °F, while the 27% on 82–83 °F reflects lingering uncertainty in afternoon convection timing. Updated model runs and surface observations over the past 24 hours have tightened consensus around these ranges, with any stronger onshore winds or increased cloud cover likely to favor the lower brackets before final resolution at Miami International Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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