Recent forecast models from major meteorological agencies, including the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, have converged on a daytime high of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow that has warmed the region above seasonal normals. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon temperatures approaching that mark under mostly clear skies. Historical May averages near 18–20°C underscore how today’s mild conditions represent a modest warm anomaly rather than an extreme. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 26°C could shift only if real-time station data records a slightly higher or lower peak due to localized urban heat effects or minor timing differences in the daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 17 maggio?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,336 Vol.
$44,336 Vol.
17 mag 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,336 Vol.
$44,336 Vol.
17 mag 2026
18°C or below
$1,628 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,641 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,344 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,934 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,335 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,517 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,198 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,848 Vol.
100%
27°C
$5,517 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from major meteorological agencies, including the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, have converged on a daytime high of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow that has warmed the region above seasonal normals. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon temperatures approaching that mark under mostly clear skies. Historical May averages near 18–20°C underscore how today’s mild conditions represent a modest warm anomaly rather than an extreme. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 26°C could shift only if real-time station data records a slightly higher or lower peak due to localized urban heat effects or minor timing differences in the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$44,336Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from major meteorological agencies, including the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, have converged on a daytime high of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow that has warmed the region above seasonal normals. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon temperatures approaching that mark under mostly clear skies. Historical May averages near 18–20°C underscore how today’s mild conditions represent a modest warm anomaly rather than an extreme. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 26°C could shift only if real-time station data records a slightly higher or lower peak due to localized urban heat effects or minor timing differences in the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,336Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecast models from major meteorological agencies, including the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, have converged on a daytime high of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow that has warmed the region above seasonal normals. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon temperatures approaching that mark under mostly clear skies. Historical May averages near 18–20°C underscore how today’s mild conditions represent a modest warm anomaly rather than an extreme. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 26°C could shift only if real-time station data records a slightly higher or lower peak due to localized urban heat effects or minor timing differences in the daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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