Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow will reach daytime highs of 24–26°C on May 17 amid light rain and easterly winds, driving the overwhelming market consensus toward a 26°C peak. This outlook aligns with current atmospheric conditions, including mild spring warming and limited cloud cover that supports modest diurnal temperature rise without strong daytime heating. Official monitoring relies on standardized thermometer readings at representative urban stations, with historical May averages near 17°C providing context for the current above-normal anomaly. A realistic shift away from 26°C would require either stronger afternoon convection or an unexpected cold front arrival that caps the maximum below the observed threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 17 maggio?
26°C 99.8%
28°C or higher <1%
27°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,094 Vol.
$44,094 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
28°C or higher <1%
27°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,094 Vol.
$44,094 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow will reach daytime highs of 24–26°C on May 17 amid light rain and easterly winds, driving the overwhelming market consensus toward a 26°C peak. This outlook aligns with current atmospheric conditions, including mild spring warming and limited cloud cover that supports modest diurnal temperature rise without strong daytime heating. Official monitoring relies on standardized thermometer readings at representative urban stations, with historical May averages near 17°C providing context for the current above-normal anomaly. A realistic shift away from 26°C would require either stronger afternoon convection or an unexpected cold front arrival that caps the maximum below the observed threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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