Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies show a high likelihood of daytime maxima reaching 31–32°C in Panama City on May 18, driven by typical early wet-season conditions with moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and afternoon convective clouds that often limit further warming. Historical May climatology places average highs near 31.5°C, with rare excursions above 33°C under clear, dry spells. Current ensemble guidance indicates stable steering patterns and no strong subsidence to suppress cloud development, keeping the 33°C-or-higher outcome at modest implied probability. Updated model runs and local observations expected later today could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Panama City il 18 maggio?
32°C 37%
33°C or higher 31%
31°C 24%
30°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
37%
33°C or higher
31%
32°C 37%
33°C or higher 31%
31°C 24%
30°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
37%
33°C or higher
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGRecent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies show a high likelihood of daytime maxima reaching 31–32°C in Panama City on May 18, driven by typical early wet-season conditions with moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and afternoon convective clouds that often limit further warming. Historical May climatology places average highs near 31.5°C, with rare excursions above 33°C under clear, dry spells. Current ensemble guidance indicates stable steering patterns and no strong subsidence to suppress cloud development, keeping the 33°C-or-higher outcome at modest implied probability. Updated model runs and local observations expected later today could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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