Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 17 maggio?
16°C 47%
15°C 35%
17°C 15%
14°C 3.9%
NUOVO
$57,101 Vol.
NUOVO
$57,101 Vol.
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
35%
16°C
47%
17°C
15%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
15°C 35%
17°C 15%
14°C 3.9%
NUOVO
$57,101 Vol.
NUOVO
$57,101 Vol.
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,413 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,723 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$4,845 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,692 Vol.
4%
15°C
$6,708 Vol.
35%
16°C
$8,162 Vol.
47%
17°C
$6,757 Vol.
15%
18°C
$5,376 Vol.
1%
19°C
$8,567 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$3,768 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$57,101Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,101Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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