Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit daytime solar heating and anchor the daily maximum temperature near 15–16 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes, where traders assign a 47.5 % implied probability to 16 °C and 36.0 % to 15 °C. Historical May averages for the city hover around 18 °C, yet persistent cloud cover this week has suppressed temperatures relative to climatological norms. Updated model runs scheduled for later today could refine the exact peak if breaks in the overcast develop or if winds strengthen, offering the next key data point for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 17 maggio?
16°C 51%
15°C 35%
17°C 14%
14°C 3.9%
NUOVO
$55,650 Vol.
NUOVO
$55,650 Vol.
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
35%
16°C
51%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 51%
15°C 35%
17°C 14%
14°C 3.9%
NUOVO
$55,650 Vol.
NUOVO
$55,650 Vol.
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,413 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,723 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$4,729 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,662 Vol.
4%
15°C
$6,667 Vol.
35%
16°C
$8,072 Vol.
51%
17°C
$6,553 Vol.
14%
18°C
$5,280 Vol.
1%
19°C
$7,751 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$3,768 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit daytime solar heating and anchor the daily maximum temperature near 15–16 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes, where traders assign a 47.5 % implied probability to 16 °C and 36.0 % to 15 °C. Historical May averages for the city hover around 18 °C, yet persistent cloud cover this week has suppressed temperatures relative to climatological norms. Updated model runs scheduled for later today could refine the exact peak if breaks in the overcast develop or if winds strengthen, offering the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$55,650Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit daytime solar heating and anchor the daily maximum temperature near 15–16 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes, where traders assign a 47.5 % implied probability to 16 °C and 36.0 % to 15 °C. Historical May averages for the city hover around 18 °C, yet persistent cloud cover this week has suppressed temperatures relative to climatological norms. Updated model runs scheduled for later today could refine the exact peak if breaks in the overcast develop or if winds strengthen, offering the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$55,650Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit daytime solar heating and anchor the daily maximum temperature near 15–16 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes, where traders assign a 47.5 % implied probability to 16 °C and 36.0 % to 15 °C. Historical May averages for the city hover around 18 °C, yet persistent cloud cover this week has suppressed temperatures relative to climatological norms. Updated model runs scheduled for later today could refine the exact peak if breaks in the overcast develop or if winds strengthen, offering the next key data point for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti