Current meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 17 maggio?
22°C 77.0%
23°C or higher 26%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$51,530 Vol.
$51,530 Vol.
17 mag 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
77%
23°C or higher
26%
22°C 77.0%
23°C or higher 26%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$51,530 Vol.
$51,530 Vol.
17 mag 2026
13°C or below
$2,459 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,223 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,226 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,599 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,217 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$7,932 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$14,104 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,153 Vol.
77%
23°C or higher
$8,500 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$51,530Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,530Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRCurrent meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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