Latest National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance project a daily high of 63–67°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 19, driven by a building thermal ridge and light easterly flow that limits marine layer intrusion. This outlook aligns with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 58°F or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical May climatology where highs average near 66°F. Minor cooling from increased onshore winds remains possible but would need to exceed forecast spread to drop below the dominant threshold, an outcome historical analogs show occurs in fewer than 5% of similar spring setups. Updated model runs on May 18 will provide the next key data point for any revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Seattle il 19 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Seattle il 19 maggio?
58°F o superiore 96.5%
56-57°F 2.1%
54-55°F 1.3%
52-53°F <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 mag 2026
39°F o inferiore
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58°F o superiore
97%
58°F o superiore 96.5%
56-57°F 2.1%
54-55°F 1.3%
52-53°F <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 mag 2026
39°F o inferiore
$690 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$603 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$603 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$603 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$603 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$603 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$541 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$818 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$188 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$23 Vol.
2%
58°F o superiore
$258 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance project a daily high of 63–67°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 19, driven by a building thermal ridge and light easterly flow that limits marine layer intrusion. This outlook aligns with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 58°F or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical May climatology where highs average near 66°F. Minor cooling from increased onshore winds remains possible but would need to exceed forecast spread to drop below the dominant threshold, an outcome historical analogs show occurs in fewer than 5% of similar spring setups. Updated model runs on May 18 will provide the next key data point for any revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,533Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance project a daily high of 63–67°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 19, driven by a building thermal ridge and light easterly flow that limits marine layer intrusion. This outlook aligns with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 58°F or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical May climatology where highs average near 66°F. Minor cooling from increased onshore winds remains possible but would need to exceed forecast spread to drop below the dominant threshold, an outcome historical analogs show occurs in fewer than 5% of similar spring setups. Updated model runs on May 18 will provide the next key data point for any revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,533Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEALatest National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance project a daily high of 63–67°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on May 19, driven by a building thermal ridge and light easterly flow that limits marine layer intrusion. This outlook aligns with the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 58°F or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of current atmospheric conditions and typical May climatology where highs average near 66°F. Minor cooling from increased onshore winds remains possible but would need to exceed forecast spread to drop below the dominant threshold, an outcome historical analogs show occurs in fewer than 5% of similar spring setups. Updated model runs on May 18 will provide the next key data point for any revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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