Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum near 27°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support this modestly above-average reading. The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus grounded in these model outputs and official monitoring from the Shanghai Meteorological Service. Resolution hinges on the precise observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport. Minor shifts in wind patterns or unexpected moisture could still nudge the peak by one degree before final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 17 maggio?
27°C 100.0%
21°C o inferiore <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,264 Vol.
$138,264 Vol.
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C o inferiore <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,264 Vol.
$138,264 Vol.
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum near 27°C in Shanghai under persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow. Mid-May climatological normals hover around 25°C, yet stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud cover support this modestly above-average reading. The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus grounded in these model outputs and official monitoring from the Shanghai Meteorological Service. Resolution hinges on the precise observation recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport. Minor shifts in wind patterns or unexpected moisture could still nudge the peak by one degree before final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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