Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Shanghai will reach a daytime peak of 26–28°C on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating surface heating. This consensus drives the market’s highest implied probabilities toward 27°C at 37.5%, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing limited warm-air advection and typical mid-May climatology for the region. No major frontal systems or significant changes appear in the next 24–48 hours, keeping resolution criteria tightly focused on official station maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 18 maggio?
27°C 36%
26°C 27%
28°C 25%
29°C 9%
NUOVO
$29,617 Vol.
NUOVO
$29,617 Vol.
18 mag 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
27%
27°C
36%
28°C
25%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 36%
26°C 27%
28°C 25%
29°C 9%
NUOVO
$29,617 Vol.
NUOVO
$29,617 Vol.
18 mag 2026
21°C or below
$869 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,052 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,788 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,216 Vol.
2%
25°C
$3,735 Vol.
5%
26°C
$3,459 Vol.
27%
27°C
$2,166 Vol.
36%
28°C
$1,889 Vol.
25%
29°C
$2,857 Vol.
9%
30°C
$2,623 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$3,076 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Shanghai will reach a daytime peak of 26–28°C on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating surface heating. This consensus drives the market’s highest implied probabilities toward 27°C at 37.5%, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing limited warm-air advection and typical mid-May climatology for the region. No major frontal systems or significant changes appear in the next 24–48 hours, keeping resolution criteria tightly focused on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$29,617Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Shanghai will reach a daytime peak of 26–28°C on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating surface heating. This consensus drives the market’s highest implied probabilities toward 27°C at 37.5%, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing limited warm-air advection and typical mid-May climatology for the region. No major frontal systems or significant changes appear in the next 24–48 hours, keeping resolution criteria tightly focused on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,617Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Shanghai will reach a daytime peak of 26–28°C on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light easterly winds and relative humidity near 60–70% moderating surface heating. This consensus drives the market’s highest implied probabilities toward 27°C at 37.5%, followed closely by 26°C and 28°C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing limited warm-air advection and typical mid-May climatology for the region. No major frontal systems or significant changes appear in the next 24–48 hours, keeping resolution criteria tightly focused on official station maxima.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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