Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecast of a 30°C daily maximum in Taipei on May 16 drives the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge is steering moist southerly flow across the region, while partly cloudy skies allow sufficient surface heating to reach but not exceed this threshold. Historical May climatology for northern Taiwan supports this range, with typical highs near 29–31°C under similar synoptic patterns. Real-time observational data from official stations continue to align with ensemble model consensus showing limited potential for additional warming. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in wind direction could still push readings to 31°C or higher before the daily peak is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,497 Vol.
$57,497 Vol.
16 mag 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Sì
31°C o superiore
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,497 Vol.
$57,497 Vol.
16 mag 2026
21°C or below
$1,836 Vol.
No
22°C
$791 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,079 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,102 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,936 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,702 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,954 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,754 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,493 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,692 Vol.
Sì
31°C o superiore
$8,159 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecast of a 30°C daily maximum in Taipei on May 16 drives the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge is steering moist southerly flow across the region, while partly cloudy skies allow sufficient surface heating to reach but not exceed this threshold. Historical May climatology for northern Taiwan supports this range, with typical highs near 29–31°C under similar synoptic patterns. Real-time observational data from official stations continue to align with ensemble model consensus showing limited potential for additional warming. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in wind direction could still push readings to 31°C or higher before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$57,497Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecast of a 30°C daily maximum in Taipei on May 16 drives the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge is steering moist southerly flow across the region, while partly cloudy skies allow sufficient surface heating to reach but not exceed this threshold. Historical May climatology for northern Taiwan supports this range, with typical highs near 29–31°C under similar synoptic patterns. Real-time observational data from official stations continue to align with ensemble model consensus showing limited potential for additional warming. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in wind direction could still push readings to 31°C or higher before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,497Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecast of a 30°C daily maximum in Taipei on May 16 drives the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge is steering moist southerly flow across the region, while partly cloudy skies allow sufficient surface heating to reach but not exceed this threshold. Historical May climatology for northern Taiwan supports this range, with typical highs near 29–31°C under similar synoptic patterns. Real-time observational data from official stations continue to align with ensemble model consensus showing limited potential for additional warming. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in wind direction could still push readings to 31°C or higher before the daily peak is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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