Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Israel Meteorological Service show a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 30–31 °C. This synoptic pattern delivers clear skies, light southerly flow, and enhanced daytime radiative heating above the late-May climatological average of 26 °C, while the adjacent sea moderates extremes and keeps most model members below 32 °C. Updated runs issued in the past 48 hours have tightened consensus around this narrow range, reducing tail probabilities for both cooler and hotter outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ incorporation of these converging official guidance products and the limited remaining forecast uncertainty before the daily high is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 18 maggio?
30°C 40%
31°C 27.6%
32°C or higher 16.8%
29°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
40%
31°C
28%
32°C or higher
17%
30°C 40%
31°C 27.6%
32°C or higher 16.8%
29°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
22°C or below
$983 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$580 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$309 Vol.
1%
26°C
$557 Vol.
1%
27°C
$788 Vol.
1%
28°C
$983 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,278 Vol.
11%
30°C
$1,082 Vol.
40%
31°C
$1,762 Vol.
28%
32°C or higher
$704 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Israel Meteorological Service show a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 30–31 °C. This synoptic pattern delivers clear skies, light southerly flow, and enhanced daytime radiative heating above the late-May climatological average of 26 °C, while the adjacent sea moderates extremes and keeps most model members below 32 °C. Updated runs issued in the past 48 hours have tightened consensus around this narrow range, reducing tail probabilities for both cooler and hotter outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ incorporation of these converging official guidance products and the limited remaining forecast uncertainty before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$9,530Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Israel Meteorological Service show a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 30–31 °C. This synoptic pattern delivers clear skies, light southerly flow, and enhanced daytime radiative heating above the late-May climatological average of 26 °C, while the adjacent sea moderates extremes and keeps most model members below 32 °C. Updated runs issued in the past 48 hours have tightened consensus around this narrow range, reducing tail probabilities for both cooler and hotter outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ incorporation of these converging official guidance products and the limited remaining forecast uncertainty before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,530Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Israel Meteorological Service show a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 30–31 °C. This synoptic pattern delivers clear skies, light southerly flow, and enhanced daytime radiative heating above the late-May climatological average of 26 °C, while the adjacent sea moderates extremes and keeps most model members below 32 °C. Updated runs issued in the past 48 hours have tightened consensus around this narrow range, reducing tail probabilities for both cooler and hotter outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect traders’ incorporation of these converging official guidance products and the limited remaining forecast uncertainty before the daily high is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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