Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency shows a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto plain, promoting clear skies, light southerly flow, and intense afternoon insolation that favors a Tokyo maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. This setup underpins the market-implied 73 percent probability for that leading outcome, well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Model guidance highlights strong daytime heating potential but carries typical uncertainty from subtle variations in cloud cover or ridge position. Traders will watch the next JMA update for any revisions ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 18 maggio?
28°C or higher 74%
27°C 22%
26°C 4.2%
25°C <1%
NUOVO
$41,004 Vol.
NUOVO
$41,004 Vol.
18 mag 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
22%
28°C or higher
74%
28°C or higher 74%
27°C 22%
26°C 4.2%
25°C <1%
NUOVO
$41,004 Vol.
NUOVO
$41,004 Vol.
18 mag 2026
18°C or below
$3,106 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,432 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,081 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,264 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,918 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,398 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15,812 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,842 Vol.
1%
26°C
$3,917 Vol.
4%
27°C
$2,423 Vol.
22%
28°C or higher
$3,811 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency shows a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto plain, promoting clear skies, light southerly flow, and intense afternoon insolation that favors a Tokyo maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. This setup underpins the market-implied 73 percent probability for that leading outcome, well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Model guidance highlights strong daytime heating potential but carries typical uncertainty from subtle variations in cloud cover or ridge position. Traders will watch the next JMA update for any revisions ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$41,004Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency shows a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto plain, promoting clear skies, light southerly flow, and intense afternoon insolation that favors a Tokyo maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. This setup underpins the market-implied 73 percent probability for that leading outcome, well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Model guidance highlights strong daytime heating potential but carries typical uncertainty from subtle variations in cloud cover or ridge position. Traders will watch the next JMA update for any revisions ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$41,004Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTCurrent numerical weather prediction consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency shows a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto plain, promoting clear skies, light southerly flow, and intense afternoon insolation that favors a Tokyo maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. This setup underpins the market-implied 73 percent probability for that leading outcome, well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Model guidance highlights strong daytime heating potential but carries typical uncertainty from subtle variations in cloud cover or ridge position. Traders will watch the next JMA update for any revisions ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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