Democratic incumbent Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, a New Orleans-centered seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and a majority-Black population that has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Carter won reelection in 2024 with 60.3 percent and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary and December 12 general. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's structural partisan lean, urban turnout patterns, and absence of competitive Republican challengers. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or further court-ordered map changes could theoretically alter dynamics, though current evidence shows no such catalysts. Trader consensus aligns with these established electoral fundamentals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
LA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
$61,064 Vol.
$61,064 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
96%
Partito Repubblicano
3%
$61,064 Vol.
$61,064 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$34,748 Vol.
96%
Partito Repubblicano
$26,316 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, a New Orleans-centered seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and a majority-Black population that has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Carter won reelection in 2024 with 60.3 percent and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary and December 12 general. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's structural partisan lean, urban turnout patterns, and absence of competitive Republican challengers. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or further court-ordered map changes could theoretically alter dynamics, though current evidence shows no such catalysts. Trader consensus aligns with these established electoral fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$61,064Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, a New Orleans-centered seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and a majority-Black population that has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Carter won reelection in 2024 with 60.3 percent and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary and December 12 general. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's structural partisan lean, urban turnout patterns, and absence of competitive Republican challengers. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or further court-ordered map changes could theoretically alter dynamics, though current evidence shows no such catalysts. Trader consensus aligns with these established electoral fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$61,064Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, a New Orleans-centered seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and a majority-Black population that has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Carter won reelection in 2024 with 60.3 percent and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary and December 12 general. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's structural partisan lean, urban turnout patterns, and absence of competitive Republican challengers. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or further court-ordered map changes could theoretically alter dynamics, though current evidence shows no such catalysts. Trader consensus aligns with these established electoral fundamentals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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