Recent forecast updates for Beijing on August 28 show a low near 18–20°C driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain from a passing frontal system, which limits daytime heating and enhances overnight radiative cooling under northerly flow. This setup narrows the diurnal temperature range compared to clearer summer conditions, with model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration pointing to minimums around 18°C amid 4–6 m/s winds. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August averages of 20°C lows, where small shifts in precipitation timing or wind direction could push readings 1–2°C warmer or cooler, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 18–22°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Pechino il 28 agosto?
15°C or below 99%
25°C or higher 47%
19°C 46%
20°C 46%
15°C or below
99%
16°C
24%
17°C
24%
18°C
45%
19°C
46%
20°C
46%
21°C
45%
22°C
45%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C or higher
47%
15°C or below 99%
25°C or higher 47%
19°C 46%
20°C 46%
15°C or below
99%
16°C
24%
17°C
24%
18°C
45%
19°C
46%
20°C
46%
21°C
45%
22°C
45%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates for Beijing on August 28 show a low near 18–20°C driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain from a passing frontal system, which limits daytime heating and enhances overnight radiative cooling under northerly flow. This setup narrows the diurnal temperature range compared to clearer summer conditions, with model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration pointing to minimums around 18°C amid 4–6 m/s winds. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical August averages of 20°C lows, where small shifts in precipitation timing or wind direction could push readings 1–2°C warmer or cooler, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 18–22°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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