The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F o inferiore <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,221 Vol.
$26,221 Vol.
67°F o inferiore
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Sì
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F o superiore
No
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F o inferiore <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,221 Vol.
$26,221 Vol.
67°F o inferiore
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Sì
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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