Official National Weather Service observations confirm Miami’s overnight low reached 74–75°F on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This outcome reflects persistent warm, humid air advection from the Gulf Stream under light southerly flow, which limited nocturnal radiative cooling despite clear skies. Late-spring climatology for the region typically produces minimums between 72–77°F, and the absence of any frontal passage or unusual subsidence kept temperatures within the narrow historical envelope. Final certified readings from Miami International Airport are expected to lock in resolution without meaningful adjustment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 16 maggio?
74-75°F 100.0%
73°F o inferiore <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$22,692 Vol.
$22,692 Vol.
73°F o inferiore
No
74-75°F
Sì
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F o superiore
No
74-75°F 100.0%
73°F o inferiore <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$22,692 Vol.
$22,692 Vol.
73°F o inferiore
No
74-75°F
Sì
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAOfficial National Weather Service observations confirm Miami’s overnight low reached 74–75°F on May 16, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This outcome reflects persistent warm, humid air advection from the Gulf Stream under light southerly flow, which limited nocturnal radiative cooling despite clear skies. Late-spring climatology for the region typically produces minimums between 72–77°F, and the absence of any frontal passage or unusual subsidence kept temperatures within the narrow historical envelope. Final certified readings from Miami International Airport are expected to lock in resolution without meaningful adjustment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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