Current meteorological forecasts for Paris on August 5, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C overnight into the morning, supported by persistent high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling and keep dew points elevated. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the daily low, consistent with official guidance from European weather models showing highs around 29°C under mostly clear skies. Typical August climatology features overnight lows of 14–16°C, but recent model runs reflect warmer boundary-layer air and reduced wind speeds that suppress further drops. Minor adjustments could occur if updated soundings or regional observations reveal unexpected cooling before dawn, though ensemble consensus remains tight around this threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 5 agosto?
20°C 92%
19°C 8%
18°C 3%
17°C 2%
$13,863 Vol.
$13,863 Vol.
5 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
92%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 92%
19°C 8%
18°C 3%
17°C 2%
$13,863 Vol.
$13,863 Vol.
5 ago 2026
16°C or below
$842 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$324 Vol.
2%
18°C
$570 Vol.
3%
19°C
$2,968 Vol.
8%
20°C
$1,759 Vol.
92%
21°C
$3,752 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,200 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$659 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Paris on August 5, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C overnight into the morning, supported by persistent high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling and keep dew points elevated. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the daily low, consistent with official guidance from European weather models showing highs around 29°C under mostly clear skies. Typical August climatology features overnight lows of 14–16°C, but recent model runs reflect warmer boundary-layer air and reduced wind speeds that suppress further drops. Minor adjustments could occur if updated soundings or regional observations reveal unexpected cooling before dawn, though ensemble consensus remains tight around this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$13,863Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Paris on August 5, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C overnight into the morning, supported by persistent high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling and keep dew points elevated. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the daily low, consistent with official guidance from European weather models showing highs around 29°C under mostly clear skies. Typical August climatology features overnight lows of 14–16°C, but recent model runs reflect warmer boundary-layer air and reduced wind speeds that suppress further drops. Minor adjustments could occur if updated soundings or regional observations reveal unexpected cooling before dawn, though ensemble consensus remains tight around this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,863Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Paris on August 5, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C overnight into the morning, supported by persistent high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling and keep dew points elevated. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for exactly 20°C as the daily low, consistent with official guidance from European weather models showing highs around 29°C under mostly clear skies. Typical August climatology features overnight lows of 14–16°C, but recent model runs reflect warmer boundary-layer air and reduced wind speeds that suppress further drops. Minor adjustments could occur if updated soundings or regional observations reveal unexpected cooling before dawn, though ensemble consensus remains tight around this threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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