Official meteorological observations from the Paris-Le Bourget station confirmed a minimum temperature of exactly 6°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty on that outcome. This reading reflects typical mid-May radiative cooling under stable high pressure and light northerly winds, which limited further temperature drops while aligning with Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting overnight lows near historical baselines of 8–10°C. Clear skies enhanced heat loss without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate conditions. New post-event data releases from national weather services could theoretically prompt minor adjustments, though the current verified station record strongly supports the market positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 16 maggio?
6°C 100.0%
0°C o inferiore <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$15,585 Vol.
$15,585 Vol.
0°C o inferiore
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C o superiore
<1%
6°C 100.0%
0°C o inferiore <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$15,585 Vol.
$15,585 Vol.
0°C o inferiore
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBOfficial meteorological observations from the Paris-Le Bourget station confirmed a minimum temperature of exactly 6°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty on that outcome. This reading reflects typical mid-May radiative cooling under stable high pressure and light northerly winds, which limited further temperature drops while aligning with Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting overnight lows near historical baselines of 8–10°C. Clear skies enhanced heat loss without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate conditions. New post-event data releases from national weather services could theoretically prompt minor adjustments, though the current verified station record strongly supports the market positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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