Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with record daytime highs and persistently elevated overnight lows near 29°C, anchor trader expectations for the Incheon minimum on August 6 near 27–28°C. Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Ensemble spreads highlight the narrow 1°C distinction between the leading outcomes, driven by minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and local station siting between Incheon International Airport and central Seoul. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 6 agosto?
27°C 45%
28°C 40%
29°C 6%
26°C 5%
23°C o meno
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
45%
28°C
40%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 40%
29°C 6%
26°C 5%
23°C o meno
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
45%
28°C
40%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with record daytime highs and persistently elevated overnight lows near 29°C, anchor trader expectations for the Incheon minimum on August 6 near 27–28°C. Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Ensemble spreads highlight the narrow 1°C distinction between the leading outcomes, driven by minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and local station siting between Incheon International Airport and central Seoul. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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