Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a nighttime low of 18°C for Tokyo on May 17, underpinning the market’s near-certain consensus on this threshold. Mid-May climatology for the Kanto region typically features lows between 15–18°C under dominant subtropical high pressure, with ensemble runs showing tight agreement and low spread in the final 12–24 hours. Urban heat-island effects and calm winds further stabilize readings near this level. Only an unforecast cold-air intrusion or rapid frontal passage could push the minimum below 18°C, scenarios current guidance assigns negligible probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 17 maggio?
18°C 99.6%
14°C o inferiore <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,553 Vol.
$15,553 Vol.
17 mag 2026
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 99.6%
14°C o inferiore <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,553 Vol.
$15,553 Vol.
17 mag 2026
14°C o inferiore
$1,131 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,394 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$823 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,467 Vol.
100%
19°C
$1,778 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,776 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$688 Vol.
<1%
24°C o superiore
$396 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a nighttime low of 18°C for Tokyo on May 17, underpinning the market’s near-certain consensus on this threshold. Mid-May climatology for the Kanto region typically features lows between 15–18°C under dominant subtropical high pressure, with ensemble runs showing tight agreement and low spread in the final 12–24 hours. Urban heat-island effects and calm winds further stabilize readings near this level. Only an unforecast cold-air intrusion or rapid frontal passage could push the minimum below 18°C, scenarios current guidance assigns negligible probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$15,553Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a nighttime low of 18°C for Tokyo on May 17, underpinning the market’s near-certain consensus on this threshold. Mid-May climatology for the Kanto region typically features lows between 15–18°C under dominant subtropical high pressure, with ensemble runs showing tight agreement and low spread in the final 12–24 hours. Urban heat-island effects and calm winds further stabilize readings near this level. Only an unforecast cold-air intrusion or rapid frontal passage could push the minimum below 18°C, scenarios current guidance assigns negligible probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,553Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTCurrent forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a nighttime low of 18°C for Tokyo on May 17, underpinning the market’s near-certain consensus on this threshold. Mid-May climatology for the Kanto region typically features lows between 15–18°C under dominant subtropical high pressure, with ensemble runs showing tight agreement and low spread in the final 12–24 hours. Urban heat-island effects and calm winds further stabilize readings near this level. Only an unforecast cold-air intrusion or rapid frontal passage could push the minimum below 18°C, scenarios current guidance assigns negligible probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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