Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou indicate minimum temperatures around 25–27°C on August 24 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit overnight radiative cooling and maintain elevated lows relative to clear-sky conditions. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports this pattern, with no incoming cold front or significant dry-air advection to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus favoring 25°C or higher reflects these factors and historical late-August baselines, while probabilities clustered near 21–23°C account for potential localized variations or model underestimates of clearing. Final resolution hinges on official station readings expected shortly after midnight local time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Zhengzhou il 24 agosto?
21°C 85%
15°C o inferiore 41%
16°C 41%
18°C 41%
15°C o inferiore
41%
16°C
41%
17°C
16%
18°C
41%
19°C
<1%
20°C
41%
21°C
85%
22°C
<1%
23°C
37%
24°C
5%
25°C o superiore
55%
21°C 85%
15°C o inferiore 41%
16°C 41%
18°C 41%
15°C o inferiore
41%
16°C
41%
17°C
16%
18°C
41%
19°C
<1%
20°C
41%
21°C
85%
22°C
<1%
23°C
37%
24°C
5%
25°C o superiore
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou indicate minimum temperatures around 25–27°C on August 24 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit overnight radiative cooling and maintain elevated lows relative to clear-sky conditions. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports this pattern, with no incoming cold front or significant dry-air advection to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus favoring 25°C or higher reflects these factors and historical late-August baselines, while probabilities clustered near 21–23°C account for potential localized variations or model underestimates of clearing. Final resolution hinges on official station readings expected shortly after midnight local time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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